Unconditional probability of death between ages 30 and 70 years and age standardized mortality rates due to major NCDs in Sri Lanka

Abstract

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Monitoring of mortality (unconditional probability of death and age standardized mortality rates) due to major four non-communicable diseases (NCDs) is important to evaluate effectiveness of national NCD prevention and control programme, included in the World Health Organization NCD global monitoring framework. This study was conducted to estimate 'unconditional probability of dying' (UPoD) between 30 and 70 years and 'age standardized mortality rates' (ASMR) due to major NCDs namely; cardiovascular diseases, cancers, chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes; during 2010 in Sri Lanka. METHOD: We applied the life table method which allows calculation of the risk of death in the absence of other causes of death, to examine the UPoD between ages 30 and 70 from four major NCDs. ASMRs were obtained for major NCDs by applying age specific death rate to WHO 2000 standard world population. Mortality the data for 2010 was obtained from Registrar General Department. RESULTS: In Sri Lanka, the UoPD from 4 major NCDs between age 30 to age 70 was 22%. The ASMR due to major NCDs was 312 per 100,000 populations. ASMRs of major NCDs were 163, 45, 56 and 46 for cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, cancer and chronic respiratory diseases, respectively. CONCLUSION: in Sri Lanka, UoPD due to NCDs is higher than most of countries in South East Asian Region. This reflects the extent of premature mortality due to NCDs in Sri Lanka.