Abstract:
This research is carried out with the intention of identifying the determinants of the dividend
payout ratio and the consistency of the same with regard to manufacturing sector companies
listed in the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE), Sri Lanka. A background study of 134 companies
(45%) out of the total 295 companies listed in the CSE, which represented the Bank, Finance and
Insurance Sector (71 companies), Beverage, Food and Tobacco Sector (23 companies) and
Manufacturing Sector (40 companies) revealed that dividend policy in manufacturing sector has
the lowest performance in terms of their dividend pay out ratio when compared with the other
two sectors. Hence this paper is developed with the aim of understanding the underlying reasons
for the poor performance of the dividend policy in companies representing the manufacturing
sector, in CSE Sri Lanka. The objectives of the research is twofold. First objective is to identify
the determinants of the dividend pay out ratio in manufacturing sector companies, with the
intention of linking the reasons for poor performance to its determinants subsequently. Secondly
the research expects to identify the consistency of the dividend pay out ratio of manufacturing
sector companies as inconsistencies in the same imply a weak dividend policy and vice versa. 21
randomly selected companies listed in the CSE Sri Lanka, representing the manufacturing sector
, for the 5 year period from 2009 to 2013 are used as the sample. In order to attain the first
objective, a set of pre-determined independent variables are identified based on previous
research, viz.profitability, operating cashflow per share, current ratio, market to book value, debt
to equity ratio, firm size and net cashflow from investment activities. A linear multiple
regression model is run and descriptive statistics are calculated for the variables of the model.
The linear regression helps to find out the associations between the determinants and the
dividend payout and the correlation coefficient assists to identify the direction of the relationship
between independent variables and dividend pay-out ratio. In addition an adjusted coefficient of
determination (adjusted R²) is calculated to test the overall effectiveness of the independent
variables, in explaining the dividend pay-out ratio. To accomplish the second objective, which is to find out the consistency of the dividend pay out ratio skewness and kurtosis test is identified.
The statistical analysis is performed using statistical software, viz. SPSS.