Incidence and time trends in prevalence of stroke and vascular risk factors in an urban Sri Lankan population: A population- based cohort study

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE: Prevalence of stroke is increasing in developing countries. However, population data on time trends in prevalence of stroke in Sri Lanka not. METHODS: We screened a population-based cohort 35–64 year selected by stratified random sampling from an urban health administrative area in 2007 evaluated them again in 2014. Identified possible stroke patients were independently reviewed by a Neurologist and a Physician with regard to diagnosis and vascular risk factors. Incidence and time trends in prevalence of stroke and vascular risk factors in 50–65-year age group were compared between 2007 and 2014. RESULTS: Of 2985 baseline study population in 2007 (females 54.5%, mean age 52.4 ± 7.8 years), 2204 attended follow-up in 2014. Of them, 45 have had a stroke/TIA, (female 51.1%, mean age 52.9 ± 5.4 years). 25 (55.6%) of them were strokes within the 7 year follow up (annual incidence-1.66 per 1000 population). Prevalence of stroke in 50–65-year age group was of the 45 stroke patients reviewed in 2014, 28 (62.2%) had. Of 27 were definite strokes, 15 probable strokes and 3 TIAs. CONCLUSION: Prevalence has increased over time in urban Sri Lanka lie between developed and developing counties.